Thursday, December 25, 2008

Hubris and Nemesis

From his book “When Markets Collide”, Mohamed El-Erian, co-CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, noted that “Bumpy journeys have a way of tripping up investment managers whose hubris results in excessive overconfidence and insufficient appreciation of the challenge that lie ahead.”  He quoted an email by Peter Dolan, Head of Private Equity in Harvard Management Company as follows:


“The psychological process begins with a person who processes arête (‘excellence’ or ‘striving for excellence’). Great arête leads to hubris (‘felling of excessive pride in oneself’), which in turn lead to ate (‘blind recklessness’), when an individual loses his or her sense of human limitations and indulges in behavior that is rash or imprudent. Ate, in turn, leads to nemesis (‘retributive justice’) because the person who acted imprudently is punished by others.”

“We are constantly on the lookout for those investor managers who after having demonstrated arête subsequently become imbued with hubris only to be destroyed by nemesis.”

 

In 2008, our finance universe had indeed too many examples to illustrate the above points.  Let’s learn from these expensive lessons, know our human limitation and act prudently in 2009 and beyond.

Posted by fc in 03:06:32 | Permalink | No Comments »

Saturday, December 20, 2008

From 2008 to 2009

Hardly we can find anyone to dispute that 2008 has been a tough your for the global financial market.  Many excess capacities have been and are likely to be taken out from various industries in 2009.  The lesson we learnt from SARS in 2003 and Asian financial crisis in 1997 is that there are many other important aspects in life other than money and other countable measures.

 

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year ;-)

Posted by fc in 02:16:06 | Permalink | No Comments »